Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Manifold · macro · closes Jan 20play-money

Probability43%

Move (yesterday)0.0%

Priced-in gap0.11

Volume292K

Jul 23, 21:13Jul 23, 23:18

News moving this contract

↑
“Trump's new global tariff draws rebukes from trade partners over forced-labor justification”cnbc.com · 14h ago · conf 0.72