1
97%+65.0%
Vol 513KPriced In
Prediction-market movers and the news moving them, ranked.
Movers — up33
2
100%+31.5%
Vol 88K3
50%+24.7%
Vol 136K4
64%+16.0%
Vol 79K5
42%+13.0%
Vol 994K6
16%+9.0%
Vol 4K7
17%+6.5%
Vol 7K8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
5%+2.1%
gap 0.04Vol 1.0M9
92%+1.0%
Vol 1.4M10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- ↳ “Ships shun Strait of Hormuz as renewed fighting strains key oil corridor” — cnbc.com · 4d ago (0.97)
13%+1.0%
gap 0.00Vol 2.1M11
48%+1.0%
Vol 012
3%+0.9%
Vol 9.3M13
59%+0.6%
Vol 2314
26%+0.5%
Vol 18.3M15
9%+0.5%
Vol 3K16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- ↳ “Nvidia details its next-generation Vera CPU for AI, setting up challenge to AMD and Intel” — cnbc.com · 4d ago (0.72)
72%+0.5%
gap 0.00Vol 1.9M17
84%+0.5%
Vol 204K18
18%+0.5%
Vol 2K19
73%+0.3%
Vol 27.2M20
9%+0.2%
Vol 2K21
4%+0.2%
Vol 338K22
1%+0.1%
Vol 131K23
3%+0.1%
Vol 4.5M24
73%+0.1%
Vol 5.0M25
100%+0.1%
Vol 147K26
99%+0.1%
Vol 594K27
4%+0.1%
Vol 599K28
6%+0.1%
Vol 651K29
0%+0.1%
Vol 5.2M30
52%0.0%
Vol 031
19%0.0%
Vol 606K32
56%0.0%
Vol 90K33
50%0.0%
Vol 7.2MMovers — down39
1
1%−79.0%
Vol 451K2
1%−32.0%
Vol 91K3
11%−27.0%
Vol 187K4
48%−26.1%
Vol 116K5
3%−20.5%
Vol 70K6
1%−18.0%
Vol 251K7
0%−6.5%
Vol 82K8
1%−5.0%
Vol 107K9
1%−3.1%
Vol 117K10
52%−2.8%
Vol 490K11
21%−2.5%
Vol 7K12
48%−2.4%
Vol 1813
27%−2.0%
Vol 24K14
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin hits a two-week high near $65,500 as the chip trade turns back into a tailwind” — coindesk.com · 4d ago (0.84)
- ↳ “Bitcoin flat near $64,000 as oil hits a one-month high and Kimi AI selloff lingers” — coindesk.com · 5d ago (0.87)
13%−2.0%
gap 0.00Vol 610K15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
0%−1.5%
gap 0.03Vol 438K16
11%−1.1%
Vol 8.5M17
45%−1.1%
Vol 1818
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
- ↳ “‘We expect it to leak so we’re just announcing it’: OpenAI files confidential SEC paperwork for IPO - Fortune” — fortune.com · 2d ago (0.99)
- ↳ “OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with SEC, 2026 - qz.com” — qz.com · 2d ago (0.99)
- ↳ “OpenAI files confidential SEC paperwork for IPO, opening the door to a Wall Street debut - AP News” — apnews.com · 5d ago (0.98)
18%−1.0%
gap 0.03Vol 147K19
32%−1.0%
Vol 15K20
40%−1.0%
Vol 77K21
34%−1.0%
Vol 3K22
50%−0.5%
Vol 23K23
41%−0.5%
Vol 9K24
17%−0.5%
Vol 9K25
32%−0.5%
Vol 5K26
36%−0.5%
Vol 8K27
23%−0.5%
Vol 2K28
9%−0.5%
Vol 2K29
48%−0.5%
Vol 030
17%−0.5%
Vol 679K31
17%−0.5%
Vol 5K32
94%−0.3%
Vol 133K33
58%−0.6%
Vol 213K34
Iran leadership change by July 31?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 21h ago (0.79)
4%−0.3%
gap 0.07Vol 943K35
4%−0.2%
Vol 685K36
99%−0.2%
Vol 393K37
0%−0.1%
Vol 177K38
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “Bitcoin Is Bouncing: Here’s the Bull and Bear Case for Its Next Move” — decrypt.co · 2d ago (0.72)
- ↳ “Bitcoin retreats from one-month high as oil tops $85, inflation concerns resurface” — coindesk.com · 3d ago (0.82)
2%−0.1%
gap 0.01Vol 1.1M39
18%0.0%
Vol 599K