1
100%+88.5%
Vol 104KPriced In
Prediction-market movers and the news moving them, ranked.
Movers — up123
2
100%+87.5%
Vol 378K3
100%+84.0%
Vol 572K4
100%+78.5%
Vol 485K5
100%+68.2%
Vol 323K6
100%+66.0%
Vol 297K7
100%+64.5%
Vol 167K8
100%+64.5%
Vol 217K9
100%+62.5%
Vol 935K10
100%+61.5%
Vol 133K11
100%+61.5%
Vol 111K12
100%+59.5%
Vol 611K13
100%+58.5%
Vol 841K14
100%+57.0%
Vol 853K15
100%+56.5%
Vol 290K16
100%+54.4%
Vol 450K17
100%+54.4%
Vol 194K18
100%+54.4%
Vol 144K19
100%+50.5%
Vol 1.0M20
100%+50.5%
Vol 649K21
100%+50.5%
Vol 153K22
100%+50.5%
Vol 1.4M23
100%+50.5%
Vol 559K24
100%+46.5%
Vol 435K25
100%+46.5%
Vol 937K26
100%+45.5%
Vol 185K27
100%+45.0%
Vol 561K28
100%+42.5%
Vol 471K29
100%+41.5%
Vol 588K30
100%+41.0%
Vol 120K31
100%+40.5%
Vol 908K32
100%+39.5%
Vol 450K33
100%+38.5%
Vol 539K34
66%+38.1%
Vol 226K35
100%+36.5%
Vol 267K36
100%+35.5%
Vol 114K37
100%+34.5%
Vol 97K38
100%+27.5%
Vol 130K39
100%+27.5%
Vol 264K40
100%+26.0%
Vol 177K41
100%+24.5%
Vol 519K42
66%+23.1%
Vol 1.6M43
100%+21.9%
Vol 103K44
100%+21.0%
Vol 470K45
100%+20.5%
Vol 612K46
100%+18.5%
Vol 134K47
100%+18.0%
Vol 1.7M48
36%+17.9%
Vol 904K49
100%+17.5%
Vol 338K50
100%+16.5%
Vol 248K51
100%+15.5%
Vol 152K52
100%+15.5%
Vol 136K53
73%+12.5%
Vol 90K54
100%+12.5%
Vol 106K55
19%+12.0%
Vol 3K56
100%+11.5%
Vol 1.7M57
100%+11.5%
Vol 127K58
15%+10.8%
Vol 560K59
100%+10.5%
Vol 158K60
100%+10.5%
Vol 98K61
38%+10.0%
Vol 2.2M62
16%+9.0%
Vol 443K63
100%+9.0%
Vol 154K64
74%+8.0%
Vol 4.6M65
100%+7.5%
Vol 473K66
100%+7.5%
Vol 356K67
100%+7.5%
Vol 321K68
100%+7.5%
Vol 149K69
100%+7.5%
Vol 179K70
92%+7.0%
Vol 117K71
100%+6.5%
Vol 196K72
100%+5.5%
Vol 182K73
99%+4.8%
Vol 201K74
100%+4.5%
Vol 148K75
100%+4.5%
Vol 1.1M76
17%+3.8%
Vol 215K77
8%+3.3%
Vol 16K78
42%+3.1%
Vol 1.9M79
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?
- ↳ “Live markets: Bitcoin trades above $65,000 as Alphabet's bigger AI bill props up the chip trade” — coindesk.com · 1d ago (0.99)
100%+2.9%
gap 0.04Vol 296K80
24%+2.5%
Vol 13K81
36%+2.5%
Vol 8K82
4%+2.4%
Vol 1.6M83
10%+2.2%
Vol 2.4M84
3%+2.1%
Vol 466K85
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 12h ago (0.84)
11%+2.0%
gap 0.13Vol 2.7M86
100%+2.0%
Vol 101K87
18%+1.6%
Vol 4.5M88
34%+1.5%
Vol 15K89
30%+1.5%
Vol 186K90
3%+1.5%
Vol 4.4M91
51%+1.2%
Vol 2592
100%+1.2%
Vol 131K93
100%+1.1%
Vol 130K94
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 8h ago (0.88)
- ↳ “Pentagon lowers official Iran war death toll, omitting four killed this month” — cnbc.com · 10h ago (0.77)
- ↳ “Congress splits on war powers resolutions to force Trump to abandon Iran war” — cnbc.com · 23h ago (0.96)
31%+1.0%
gap 0.15Vol 46.5M95
16%+1.0%
Vol 589K96
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
- ↳ “‘We expect it to leak so we’re just announcing it’: OpenAI files confidential SEC paperwork for IPO - Fortune” — fortune.com · 1d ago (0.99)
- ↳ “OpenAI confidentially files for IPO with SEC, 2026 - qz.com” — qz.com · 1d ago (0.99)
- ↳ “OpenAI files confidential SEC paperwork for IPO, opening the door to a Wall Street debut - AP News” — apnews.com · 4d ago (0.98)
19%+1.0%
gap 0.06Vol 147K97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- ↳ “Ships shun Strait of Hormuz as renewed fighting strains key oil corridor” — cnbc.com · 4d ago (0.98)
52%+1.0%
gap 0.00Vol 5.8M98
28%+1.0%
Vol 233K99
2%+1.0%
Vol 546K100
5%+1.0%
Vol 1.1M101
100%+0.6%
Vol 61K102
52%+0.5%
Vol 23K103
40%+0.5%
Vol 22K104
35%+0.5%
Vol 2K105
3%+0.5%
Vol 7K106
100%+0.4%
Vol 76K107
4%+0.4%
Vol 6K108
12%+0.4%
Vol 8.4M109
0%+0.4%
Vol 1.3M110
20%+0.3%
Vol 23K111
6%+0.3%
Vol 2K112
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?
- ↳ “Live markets: Bitcoin trades above $65,000 as Alphabet's bigger AI bill props up the chip trade” — coindesk.com · 1d ago (0.99)
100%+0.3%
gap 0.04Vol 345K113
4%+0.2%
Vol 2K114
51%+0.2%
Vol 2K115
0%+0.2%
Vol 1.6M116
0%+0.1%
Vol 1.2M117
9%+0.1%
Vol 2K118
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
- ↳ “Brent oil jumps 2% to hold above $92 as Rubio says Iran 'not serious' about peace talks” — cnbc.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.82)
100%+0.1%
gap 0.01Vol 881K119
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 12h ago (0.98)
0%+0.1%
gap 0.13Vol 174K120
66%+0.1%
Vol 662K121
5%+0.1%
Vol 67K122
0%+0.1%
Vol 26.7M123
1%0.0%
Vol 1.5MMovers — down169
1
0%−84.5%
Vol 312K2
0%−84.3%
Vol 544K3
0%−83.5%
Vol 1.4M4
0%−81.5%
Vol 997K5
0%−73.5%
Vol 233K6
0%−72.0%
Vol 263K7
0%−71.5%
Vol 158K8
0%−69.5%
Vol 256K9
0%−67.5%
Vol 315K10
0%−66.5%
Vol 427K11
0%−66.5%
Vol 1.4M12
0%−66.5%
Vol 170K13
0%−64.0%
Vol 469K14
0%−62.5%
Vol 1.0M15
0%−62.0%
Vol 109K16
0%−62.0%
Vol 481K17
0%−61.5%
Vol 141K18
0%−57.5%
Vol 305K19
0%−54.5%
Vol 276K20
0%−53.5%
Vol 290K21
0%−53.5%
Vol 389K22
0%−52.5%
Vol 125K23
0%−51.5%
Vol 2.7M24
0%−51.5%
Vol 1.4M25
0%−51.5%
Vol 519K26
0%−51.5%
Vol 691K27
0%−51.5%
Vol 328K28
0%−50.5%
Vol 334K29
0%−49.5%
Vol 144K30
0%−48.4%
Vol 1.1M31
0%−47.4%
Vol 133K32
0%−46.5%
Vol 245K33
0%−44.5%
Vol 132K34
0%−43.5%
Vol 477K35
0%−42.4%
Vol 573K36
0%−42.4%
Vol 430K37
0%−40.9%
Vol 224K38
0%−40.9%
Vol 449K39
0%−40.9%
Vol 152K40
0%−38.5%
Vol 145K41
0%−37.5%
Vol 136K42
0%−34.4%
Vol 276K43
0%−33.5%
Vol 145K44
0%−33.5%
Vol 345K45
0%−32.5%
Vol 258K46
0%−32.5%
Vol 636K47
0%−31.4%
Vol 950K48
14%−29.0%
Vol 204K49
0%−26.5%
Vol 448K50
0%−24.4%
Vol 77K51
0%−24.2%
Vol 131K52
0%−22.4%
Vol 1.1M53
0%−21.4%
Vol 102K54
0%−20.9%
Vol 156K55
0%−20.4%
Vol 319K56
30%−20.0%
Vol 057
0%−19.4%
Vol 305K58
0%−17.9%
Vol 94K59
0%−17.0%
Vol 281K60
0%−16.4%
Vol 306K61
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.84)
- ↳ “Bitcoin Is Bouncing: Here’s the Bull and Bear Case for Its Next Move” — decrypt.co · 2d ago (0.74)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $66,300 as chips extend their rally and the yen hits a 40-year low” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.97)
50%−16.0%
gap 0.01Vol 1.9M62
0%−15.4%
Vol 545K63
0%−14.2%
Vol 202K64
0%−13.5%
Vol 154K65
0%−12.4%
Vol 121K66
0%−12.4%
Vol 138K67
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 5h ago (0.90)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 12h ago (0.91)
- ↳ “Live markets: Bitcoin trades above $65,000 as Alphabet's bigger AI bill props up the chip trade” — coindesk.com · 1d ago (0.96)
16%−12.0%
gap 0.17Vol 1.4M68
0%−11.7%
Vol 128K69
7%−11.5%
Vol 4K70
0%−11.5%
Vol 111K71
0%−10.9%
Vol 94K72
50%−10.6%
Vol 073
42%−10.0%
Vol 702K74
0%−9.4%
Vol 93K75
0%−9.4%
Vol 94K76
11%−9.0%
Vol 7K77
1%−8.5%
Vol 100K78
0%−7.8%
Vol 211K79
0%−7.4%
Vol 89K80
6%−6.8%
Vol 91K81
0%−6.5%
Vol 163K82
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
9%−5.0%
gap 0.07Vol 568K83
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “Bitcoin Is Bouncing: Here’s the Bull and Bear Case for Its Next Move” — decrypt.co · 2d ago (0.72)
- ↳ “Bitcoin retreats from one-month high as oil tops $85, inflation concerns resurface” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.82)
5%−4.7%
gap 0.02Vol 1.1M84
43%−4.6%
Vol 4.5M85
12%−4.5%
Vol 10K86
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 8h ago (0.78)
- ↳ “Tehran's Hormuz threat risks global fallout, Rubio warns as U.S. strikes Iran for 11th straight night” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.76)
- ↳ “U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.82)
36%−4.0%
gap 0.16Vol 1.6M87
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 8h ago (0.78)
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
10%−4.0%
gap 0.15Vol 285K88
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
3%−4.0%
gap 0.07Vol 374K89
17%−3.5%
Vol 596K90
0%−3.5%
Vol 208K91
62%−3.2%
Vol 31392
61%−3.0%
Vol 236K93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- ↳ “Brent oil jumps 2% to hold above $92 as Rubio says Iran 'not serious' about peace talks” — cnbc.com · 2d ago (0.84)
- ↳ “U.S. strikes Iran and Houthis threaten Saudi Arabia shipping as mediators push 10-day ceasefire” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.76)
56%−3.0%
gap 0.00Vol 605K94
9%−2.5%
Vol 3K95
3%−2.4%
Vol 575K96
50%−2.2%
Vol 3K97
3%−2.1%
Vol 6K98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- ↳ “Ships shun Strait of Hormuz as renewed fighting strains key oil corridor” — cnbc.com · 4d ago (0.97)
12%−2.0%
gap 0.00Vol 2.0M99
44%−1.8%
Vol 11K100
0%−1.7%
Vol 312K101
57%−3.2%
Vol 211K102
0%−1.3%
Vol 219K103
23%−1.2%
Vol 7.6M104
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?
- ↳ “Live markets: Bitcoin trades above $65,000 as Alphabet's bigger AI bill props up the chip trade” — coindesk.com · 1d ago (0.92)
0%−1.1%
gap 0.04Vol 415K105
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- ↳ “LeBron James Heads to Philadelphia 76ers” — variety.com · 37m ago (0.98)
8%−1.0%
gap 0.00Vol 2.3M106
61%−1.0%
Vol 44K107
77%−1.0%
Vol 16K108
66%−1.0%
Vol 11K109
59%−1.0%
Vol 11K110
36%−1.0%
Vol 10K111
45%−1.0%
Vol 7K112
76%−1.0%
Vol 785K113
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
- ↳ “Brent oil jumps 2% to hold above $92 as Rubio says Iran 'not serious' about peace talks” — cnbc.com · 2d ago (0.72)
- ↳ “U.S. hits Iran for ninth consecutive night as American casualties mount” — cnbc.com · 5d ago (0.78)
9%−1.0%
gap 0.01Vol 2.8M114
37%−1.0%
Vol 332K115
26%−0.9%
Vol 3.8M116
9%−0.9%
Vol 2K117
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- ↳ “SpaceX Pushes Starship Flight 13 to July 24 for Heat-Shield Imaging Conditions” — SpaceX · 2d ago (0.76)
3%−0.8%
gap 0.08Vol 902K118
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin wilts as oil and rates rise. Clarity Act odds tumble to 38%” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.86)
- ↳ “Bitcoin retreats from one-month high as oil tops $85, inflation concerns resurface” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.88)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $66,300 as chips extend their rally and the yen hits a 40-year low” — coindesk.com · 2d ago (0.90)
0%−0.8%
gap 0.03Vol 799K119
0%−0.8%
Vol 224K120
72%−0.7%
Vol 4.8M121
3%−0.7%
Vol 10K122
4%−0.7%
Vol 1.4M123
0%−0.5%
Vol 194K124
0%−0.5%
Vol 116K125
3%−0.5%
Vol 1.2M126
53%−0.5%
Vol 7.2M127
16%−0.5%
Vol 19K128
3%−0.5%
Vol 17K129
28%−0.5%
Vol 15K130
32%−0.5%
Vol 5K131
35%−0.5%
Vol 4K132
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- ↳ “Nvidia details its next-generation Vera CPU for AI, setting up challenge to AMD and Intel” — cnbc.com · 3d ago (0.72)
86%−0.5%
gap 0.00Vol 1.8M133
31%−0.5%
Vol 2.4M134
1%−0.5%
Vol 66K135
25%−0.5%
Vol 18.1M136
1%−0.5%
Vol 1.8M137
0%−0.5%
Vol 128K138
74%−0.4%
Vol 26.0M139
15%−0.4%
Vol 11K140
0%−0.4%
Vol 218K141
44%−0.8%
Vol 422K142
0%−0.4%
Vol 74K143
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- ↳ “Ships shun Strait of Hormuz as renewed fighting strains key oil corridor” — cnbc.com · 4d ago (0.98)
- ↳ “Oil tankers face 'worst case scenario' in Hormuz as Iran steps up attacks on ships, maritime risk CEO says” — cnbc.com · 7d ago (0.98)
1%−0.3%
gap 0.00Vol 20.1M144
0%−0.3%
Vol 201K145
1%−0.3%
Vol 8K146
4%−0.2%
Vol 19K147
65%−0.5%
Vol 266K148
Iran leadership change by July 31?
- ↳ “Trump considering a ‘massive attack’ on Iran as Tehran labels UK ‘accomplice’ to America” — cnbc.com · 8h ago (0.79)
5%−0.2%
gap 0.15Vol 783K149
1%−0.2%
Vol 17.2M150
0%−0.2%
Vol 1.3M151
0%−0.2%
Vol 2.2M152
0%−0.2%
Vol 1.6M153
1%−0.2%
Vol 1.3M154
0%−0.1%
Vol 963K155
0%−0.1%
Vol 108K156
1%−0.1%
Vol 644K157
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- ↳ “Alphabet is falling on a big spending forecast increase. What analysts are saying” — cnbc.com · 1d ago (0.93)
- ↳ “Tesla and Alphabet shares slump in premarket trading as AI spending concerns spook investors” — cnbc.com · 1d ago (0.96)
- ↳ “Why we're sticking with Alphabet despite an imperfect quarter and more AI spending” — Why we're sticking with Alphabet despite an imperfect quarter and more AI spending · 2d ago (0.78)
0%−0.1%
gap 0.07Vol 640K158
60%−0.1%
Vol 0159
27%−0.1%
Vol 1.3M160
2%−0.1%
Vol 1.3M161
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
- ↳ “Bitcoin settles near $65,000 as oil's march toward $100 fails to spook the market” — coindesk.com · 5h ago (0.98)
- ↳ “Bitcoin treasury companies sell up, repay debt, pivot to AI as share prices collapse” — coindesk.com · 6h ago (0.74)
- ↳ “Bitcoin holds near $65,000 as $800 billion AI selloff leaves crypto largely untouched” — coindesk.com · 12h ago (0.93)
0%−0.1%
gap 0.19Vol 1.9M162
0%−0.1%
Vol 150K163
0%−0.1%
Vol 99K164
0%−0.1%
Vol 93K165
1%−0.1%
Vol 472K166
26%−0.1%
Vol 32K167
0%−0.1%
Vol 44.3M168
19%0.0%
Vol 605K169
35%0.0%
Vol 269K